# Energy bills forecast to rise 10% from July as Middle East war drives up prices

By Simon Francis — 2026-03-04

Simon Francis, coordinator of the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, said: “The prospect of the energy price cap rising again in July will be devastating for households who had been expecting some relief on their bills.

“Summer normally brings some respite because wholesale prices tend to ease as heating demand falls, so a potential 10 per cent rise is a worrying signal that global tensions are once again feeding directly into the cost of energy.

“If these forecasts prove correct, the increase would wipe out the modest savings delivered by the Budget and pile even more pressure onto families already struggling with high bills and record levels of energy debt.

“The price cap may smooth out sudden spikes, but as long as the system remains tied to volatile global gas markets, households will continue to feel the impact of every international shock.”

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